Part of the Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2007, which were audited by KPMG Deutsche Treuhand AG.

The most important risks we assume are specific banking risks and reputational risks, as well as risks arising from the general business environment.

Specific Banking Risks

Our risk management processes distinguish among four kinds of specific banking risks: (Glossary)credit risk, (Glossary)market risk, (Glossary)liquidity risk and (Glossary)operational risk.

  • CREDIT RISK arises from all transactions that give rise to actual, contingent or potential claims against any counterparty, borrower or obligor (which we refer to collectively as “counterparties”). This is the largest single risk we face. We distinguish among three kinds of credit risk:
    • DEFAULT RISK is the risk that counterparties fail to meet contractual payment obligations.
    • (Glossary)COUNTRY RISK is the risk that we may suffer a loss, in any given country, due to any of the following reasons: a possible deterioration of economic conditions, political and social upheaval, nationalization and expropriation of assets, government repudiation of indebtedness, exchange controls and disruptive currency depreciation or devaluation. Country risk includes transfer risk which arises when debtors are unable to meet their obligations owing to an inability to transfer assets to nonresidents due to direct sovereign intervention.
    • SETTLEMENT RISK is the risk that the settlement or clearance of transactions will fail. It arises whenever the exchange of cash, securities and/or other assets is not simultaneous.
  • MARKET RISK arises from the uncertainty concerning changes in market prices and rates (including interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates and commodity prices), the correlations among them and their levels of volatility.
  • LIQUIDITY RISK is the risk arising from our potential inability to meet all payment obligations when they come due or only being able to meet these obligations at excessive costs.
  • OPERATIONAL RISK is the potential for incurring losses in relation to employees, contractual specifications and documentation, technology, infrastructure failure and disasters, projects, external influences and customer relationships. This definition includes legal and regulatory risk, but excludes business and reputational risk.

Reputational Risk

Within our risk management processes, we define reputational risk as the risk that publicity concerning a transaction, counterparty or business practice involving a client will negatively impact the public’s trust in our organization.

Business Risk

Business risk describes the risk we assume due to potential changes in general business conditions, such as our market environment, client behavior and technological progress. This can affect our earnings if we fail to adjust quickly to these changing conditions.

Insurance Specific Risk

Our (Glossary)exposure to insurance risk increased upon the acquisition of Abbey Life Assurance Company Limited in October 2007.

We also hold an equity investment in Paternoster Limited which is a regulated insurance company taking on the risks associated with companies’ final salary/defined pension schemes and assuming the responsibility for paying their pensioners into the future by writing annuity contracts. We are therefore exposed to the following insurance-related risks.

  • MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY RISKS – higher/lower than expected number of death claims on assurance products and occurrence of one or more large claims, and higher/lower than expected disability claims respectively. These are mitigated by the use of reinsurance and the application of discretionary charges. Annually, rates of mortality and morbidity are investigated.
  • LONGEVITY RISK – faster/slower than expected improvements in life expectancy on immediate and deferred annuity products. This is carefully monitored against the latest external industry data and emerging trends
  • EXPENSES – policies cost more/less to administer than expected. These are monitored by an analysis of our actual expenses relative to budget. Reasons for any significant divergence from expectations are investigated and remedial action taken. The expense risk is reduced by us having in place (until 2010 with the option of renewal for two more years) an outsourcing agreement which covers the administration of the policies.
  • PERSISTENCY – higher/lower than expected percentage of lapsed policies. Our persistency rates are annually assessed by reference to appropriate risk factors.